id
stringlengths 10
20
| slug
stringlengths 11
53
| question
stringlengths 9
120
| firstGroup
float64 | createdTime
int64 1,715B
1,752B
| closeTime
int64 1,717B
1,752B
| resolvedTime
int64 1,736B
1,752B
| resolution
stringclasses 2
values | resolutionProbability
float64 0
1
| volume
float64 1k
1.38M
| pred_category
stringclasses 6
values | pred_subcategory
stringclasses 29
values |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
s63cnkvgxu
|
zygmunt-solorz-dead-before-february
|
Zygmunt Solorz dead before February 2025?
| null | 1,728,345,592,516
| 1,738,364,340,000
| 1,738,526,837,355
|
NO
| 0.087065
| 2,365
|
Entertainment
|
Celebrity & Pop Culture
|
h0Z2AIIgyL
|
will-trent-alexander-arnold-extend
|
Will Trent Alexander Arnold extend his Liverpool contract?
| null | 1,729,873,313,560
| 1,750,210,687,843
| 1,750,210,687,843
|
NO
| 0.007768
| 13,778.023535
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
ZLLqclSnq2
|
will-the-center-for-ai-policy-reach
|
Will the Center for AI Policy reach their minimum funding goal by 6/16/2025?
| null | 1,746,743,786,903
| 1,750,031,940,000
| 1,750,057,317,975
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,980.867345
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
AlAEZcAIgC
|
will-o3minihigh-conclude-eating-mea
|
Will o3-mini-high conclude eating meat is ethically wrong based off of your arguments?
| null | 1,739,315,039,439
| 1,745,384,340,000
| 1,745,462,863,674
|
YES
| 0.853451
| 3,429.876426
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
LIlQPUc69I
|
will-trump-state-that-ukraine-shoul
|
Will Trump state that Ukraine should agree to not receiving arms during a ceasefire in the next 30 days?
| null | 1,741,888,572,033
| 1,744,498,740,000
| 1,744,581,626,065
|
NO
| 0.113245
| 2,230.800781
|
Politics
|
Domestic Policy
|
55P5ULLCZ5
|
will-the-australian-election-campai
|
Will the Australian election campaign have a ‘Russiagate’ controversy?
| null | 1,743,953,494,552
| 1,746,486,000,000
| 1,746,495,794,792
|
NO
| 0.010101
| 1,793.67692
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
ZQdNlAzl8N
|
will-the-eo-barring-transgender-us
|
Will the EO barring transgender US citizens from renewing passports be even partially overturned by end of 2025?
| null | 1,738,632,501,583
| 1,751,463,993,693
| 1,751,463,993,693
|
YES
| 0.766159
| 4,507.975365
|
Politics
|
Domestic Policy
|
fkq3gnxydn
|
will-manchester-city-win-the-premie-cv0zf5df2q
|
Will Manchester City win the Premier League before their game on May 18, two games left to play?
| null | 1,726,580,372,585
| 1,742,181,522,582
| 1,742,181,522,582
|
NO
| 0.01
| 24,817.175934
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
6kcq9jm2v5
|
if-trump-is-elected-president-will-d82xzhnd4h
|
If Trump is elected president, will he appoint Kennedy to a government position by the end of 2026?
| null | 1,724,445,089,714
| 1,739,465,167,939
| 1,739,465,167,939
|
YES
| 0.969622
| 9,330.049988
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
sIO2ZUQq5C
|
will-there-be-at-least-1000-deaths
|
Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran in 2025?
| null | 1,737,522,114,469
| 1,751,679,951,167
| 1,751,679,951,167
|
YES
| 0.99
| 31,641.579752
|
Geopolitics
|
Global Conflicts
|
yptgUcOPZh
|
will-manifold-go-after-me-for-my-ne
|
Will Manifold go after me for my negative Sweepcash balance before June?
| null | 1,733,939,315,822
| 1,742,604,310,037
| 1,742,604,310,037
|
NO
| 0.01
| 10,381.089583
|
Finance
|
Personal Finance
|
i2n3fv0qgy
|
on-jan-1-2025-will-new-replit-users
|
On jan 1 2025, will new replit users be allowed to create at least 10 repls?
| null | 1,721,077,662,140
| 1,735,707,540,000
| 1,735,708,754,012
|
NO
| 0.048078
| 3,461
|
Technology
|
Computing & Software
|
u6gIIQC0sE
|
daily-coinflip-NsUngz09gz
|
Daily coinflip
| null | 1,736,761,883,968
| 1,736,917,140,000
| 1,736,927,593,520
|
YES
| 0.503917
| 11,923.681335
|
Sports
|
Sports Culture & Recreation
|
RN5cSLZ2E2
|
will-the-next-attempt-to-arrest-sou
|
Will the next attempt to arrest South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol result in at least one (1) fatality?
| null | 1,736,181,652,003
| 1,736,966,227,667
| 1,736,966,227,667
|
NO
| 0.012957
| 8,517
|
Politics
|
Domestic Policy
|
hR8lhRO9gz
|
do-professional-economic-forecaster
|
Do professional economic forecasters expect a US recession (two quarters negative GDP growth) to begin in 2025?
| null | 1,745,456,790,092
| 1,747,404,313,512
| 1,747,404,313,512
|
NO
| 0.01
| 201,827.802948
|
Finance
|
Economic Indicators
|
cCgIAIpRPt
|
will-josh-allen-be-the-20242025-nfl--cash
|
Will Josh Allen be the 2024-2025 NFL MVP?
| null | 1,730,485,326,896
| 1,738,908,865,690
| 1,738,908,865,690
|
YES
| 0.993793
| 2,431.298692
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
It6PLcOPI8
|
will-the-first-nintendo-switch-2-ed
|
Will the first "Nintendo Switch 2 Edition" games allow multiple consoles/accounts to get the upgrades?
| null | 1,743,883,587,171
| 1,749,316,448,943
| 1,749,316,448,943
|
YES
| 0.99
| 10,389.09293
|
Technology
|
Gaming
|
22h8uLQP6A
|
will-the-laxmetro-transit-center-st
|
Will the LAX/Metro Transit Center station open in Los Angeles before the end of 2025?
| null | 1,735,621,862,508
| 1,749,417,232,222
| 1,749,417,232,222
|
YES
| 0.99
| 9,067.493419
|
Politics
|
Domestic Policy
|
tO9u0ytpLu
|
will-the-reserve-bank-of-australia-CIREph2qpP
|
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia cut rates in February 2025?
| null | 1,738,927,906,728
| 1,739,849,525,181
| 1,739,849,525,181
|
YES
| 0.989948
| 9,855
|
Finance
|
Economic Indicators
|
0lO0sC8pPu
|
pierre-polievre-loses-his-seat-in-t
|
Pierre Polievre loses his seat in the election?
| null | 1,745,633,074,415
| 1,746,034,053,513
| 1,746,034,053,513
|
YES
| 0.970218
| 1,804.020778
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
ZI8CsNuQsA
|
grok-3-api-available-to-developers
|
Grok 3 API available to developers before April 15, 2025
| null | 1,740,678,583,845
| 1,744,253,294,552
| 1,744,253,294,552
|
YES
| 0.982372
| 1,558.436178
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
lUtPdOsyA2
|
will-the-kremlin-agree-and-implemen
|
Will the Kremlin agree and implement an unconditional cease fire before then end of May 2025?
| null | 1,746,883,251,088
| 1,748,822,340,000
| 1,748,829,890,617
|
NO
| 0.010577
| 1,085.361759
|
Geopolitics
|
Global Conflicts
|
sInIOO2IEy
|
will-we-learn-that-a-person-who-has
|
Will we learn that a person who has been deported to El Salvador by March 17th was an American citizen?
| null | 1,742,209,760,714
| 1,747,748,566,853
| 1,747,748,566,853
|
NO
| 0.030295
| 8,051.733477
|
Politics
|
Domestic Policy
|
IIgl9NcS0s
|
will-jalen-hurts-score-a-touchdown
|
Will Jalen Hurts score a touchdown in Super Bowl LIX?
| null | 1,738,332,591,450
| 1,739,146,282,029
| 1,739,146,282,029
|
YES
| 0.99
| 9,821.660309
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
EPLyNAlLAs
|
will-a-tax-on-unrealized-capital-ga
|
Will a tax on unrealized capital gains take effect in Australia by 1 July?
| null | 1,749,055,809,818
| 1,751,327,940,000
| 1,751,560,563,400
|
NO
| 0.018965
| 13,057.235887
|
Finance
|
Personal Finance
|
2y7ql7xhi5
|
will-donald-trump-say-the-word-pale
|
Will Donald Trump say the word “Palestine” between now and the election?
| null | 1,721,961,777,008
| 1,730,897,940,000
| 1,735,690,784,514
|
NO
| 0.06738
| 1,814.884147
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
PLtpOONu2c
|
ai-digests-agent-village-completes-nRdQZhs05R
|
AI Digest's Agent Village completes story and celebrates with 10+ people?
| null | 1,748,978,553,031
| 1,750,429,552,558
| 1,750,429,552,558
|
YES
| 0.980825
| 7,952.575358
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
IQ0st986zy
|
daily-coinflip-6hptyUAtII
|
Daily coinflip
| null | 1,738,562,341,271
| 1,738,731,540,000
| 1,738,739,912,370
|
NO
| 0.500812
| 8,192.87351
|
Sports
|
Sports Culture & Recreation
|
gygcR9Ut8P
|
will-the-minecraft-movie-get-over-5
|
Will the Minecraft movie get over 55% on Rotten Tomatoes?
| null | 1,739,427,276,021
| 1,744,422,468,764
| 1,744,422,468,764
|
NO
| 0.01
| 2,260.046593
|
Entertainment
|
Movies & Television
|
SC6n26qN80
|
will-mark-carney-become-prime-minis
|
Will Mark Carney become Prime Minister of Canada?
| null | 1,740,366,924,912
| 1,741,561,317,000
| 1,741,561,317,000
|
YES
| 0.989938
| 20,418.885258
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
PdOOZtLACZ
|
10-year-treasury-yield-at-45-on-712
|
10 Year Treasury Yield at 4.5%+ on 7/1/2025?
| null | 1,749,630,169,540
| 1,751,327,940,000
| 1,751,422,082,410
|
NO
| 0.082111
| 3,551.851836
|
Finance
|
Economic Indicators
|
hAUusNuhsu
|
daily-coinflip-Cy5A6ZsszL
|
Daily Coinflip
| null | 1,751,650,752,547
| 1,751,774,340,000
| 1,751,781,227,065
|
NO
| 0.495836
| 7,942.003489
|
Sports
|
Sports Culture & Recreation
|
PR2SSuhcPu
|
will-the-senate-judiciary-committee-AtCg9ug8Qp
|
Will the Senate Judiciary Committee get to view the House Ethics Committee report on Matt Gaetz?
| null | 1,731,703,601,710
| 1,738,483,140,000
| 1,738,511,654,660
|
YES
| 0.990084
| 1,201.530355
|
Politics
|
Government Structure
|
CqEgy2Z8Qz
|
will-fox-news-report-about-the-isra
|
Will fox news report about an Israeli sniper killing a young Palestinian child despite ceasefire?
| null | 1,737,745,433,795
| 1,740,373,140,000
| 1,740,845,224,084
|
NO
| 0.010016
| 1,013.322346
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
P5SIg00pC9
|
will-americans-favour-donald-trump
|
Will Americans favour Donald Trump over Joe Biden on inauguration day?
| null | 1,730,924,494,802
| 1,737,446,340,000
| 1,737,449,524,787
|
YES
| 0.99
| 10,780.466966
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
C5Q0s65QEt
|
daily-coinflip-ZSIyE6uQuc
|
Daily coinflip
| null | 1,744,865,358,736
| 1,745,035,140,000
| 1,745,114,085,072
|
YES
| 0.504926
| 43,362.483461
|
Sports
|
Sports Culture & Recreation
|
p0ly9C0hEU
|
will-budda-flee-the-country-before
|
Will Budda flee the country before the end of 2024?
| null | 1,734,991,205,348
| 1,735,685,940,000
| 1,738,350,680,895
|
NO
| 0.01
| 9,590.783462
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
CIAp5su9Nu
|
daily-coinflip-RzO6zNOIqh
|
Daily coinflip
| null | 1,743,827,688,158
| 1,743,998,340,000
| 1,744,000,498,055
|
YES
| 0.5099
| 2,232.781208
|
Sports
|
Sports Culture & Recreation
|
Ugq8sySthP
|
egypts-gaza-ceasefire-restoration-p
|
Egypt's Gaza ceasefire restoration proposal accepted by Israel before April 15, 2025?
| null | 1,742,848,119,413
| 1,744,761,540,000
| 1,744,761,812,775
|
NO
| 0.012552
| 1,558.006002
|
Geopolitics
|
Global Conflicts
|
qhIEz2qtp5
|
will-this-question-have-exactly-200
|
Will this question have exactly 200 unique traders by March 19th?
| null | 1,741,787,513,512
| 1,742,443,140,000
| 1,742,476,317,863
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,017.894346
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
6unavmpfjd
|
will-we-learn-that-joe-biden-has-pa
|
Will we learn that Joe Biden has Parkinson's disease before the end of 2024?
| null | 1,720,298,970,505
| 1,735,718,340,000
| 1,736,406,441,514
|
NO
| 0.012606
| 63,144.461394
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
0AOAdSsPls
|
daily-coinflip-EZQct96d2A
|
Daily Coinflip
| null | 1,751,956,422,895
| 1,752,119,940,000
| 1,752,133,249,272
|
NO
| 0.497316
| 7,704.404787
|
Sports
|
Sports Culture & Recreation
|
zyuZLOQgNL
|
both-lamar-jackson-and-nikola-jokic
|
Both Lamar Jackson and Nikola Jokic to repeat as MVP in 2024-25?
| null | 1,731,295,388,267
| 1,741,965,863,209
| 1,741,965,863,209
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,268.771995
|
Sports
|
Individual Sports
|
RqdUc9E2UC
|
users-codeforces-rating-reaches-can
|
User's Codeforces rating reaches Candidate Master (1900+) by February 2025
| null | 1,733,526,128,521
| 1,740,700,800,000
| 1,740,720,324,291
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,686.041971
|
Sports
|
Individual Sports
|
83j3j2wp1a
|
will-apple-be-the-largest-company-i
|
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap at the end of 2024?
| null | 1,718,946,981,146
| 1,735,707,540,000
| 1,735,860,011,841
|
YES
| 0.99
| 4,824.759724
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
09u0IZdS5Q
|
will-a-switch-version-of-metroid-pr
|
Will a Switch version of Metroid Prime 2: Echoes release before March?
| null | 1,738,347,985,567
| 1,740,787,140,000
| 1,740,811,071,930
|
NO
| 0.011431
| 9,307.493419
|
Entertainment
|
Gaming
|
Qp6q0UtdRO
|
will-the-righteous-gemstones-season
|
Will 'The Righteous Gemstones' Season 4 receive a Rotten Tomatoes critic score above 85% by June 1, 2025?
| null | 1,744,284,720,843
| 1,748,822,340,000
| 1,749,892,397,186
|
YES
| 0.988634
| 4,686.611823
|
Entertainment
|
Movies & Television
|
zx705wvc9j
|
will-the-nfl-202425-season-be-highe
|
Will the NFL 2024/25 season be higher scoring than 2023/24?
| null | 1,723,930,529,949
| 1,739,692,740,000
| 1,739,747,419,944
|
YES
| 0.99
| 9,261.822478
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
682z90du62
|
will-the-gulf-of-mexico-be-renamed
|
Will the Gulf of Mexico be renamed during the Trump presidency?
| null | 1,736,282,791,555
| 1,737,485,017,323
| 1,737,485,017,323
|
YES
| 0.99
| 36,929.12489
|
Politics
|
Domestic Policy
|
sCEP6CghgO
|
will-the-chance-of-yes-on-this-mark
|
Will the % chance of "YES" on this market close above 50%?
| null | 1,742,224,856,102
| 1,742,615,940,000
| 1,742,630,274,546
|
YES
| 0.840026
| 4,312.206384
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
zbxppwj83k
|
will-i-get-a-donationpayment-of-110
|
Will i get a Donation/Payment of 10000 or more Mana before 2025?
| null | 1,724,683,679,731
| 1,735,685,999,000
| 1,735,705,725,647
|
YES
| 0.990075
| 137,815.245981
|
Finance
|
Personal Finance
|
luCCqIgRcl
|
will-justin-trudeau-officially-step
|
Will Justin Trudeau officially step down as Prime Minister of Canada before the end of February?
| null | 1,736,183,425,867
| 1,740,815,940,000
| 1,740,819,128,136
|
NO
| 0.01
| 2,038.386576
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
krbzcruxys
|
will-there-be-an-assassination-atte-lay8qx2l11
|
Will there be an assassination attempt on Joe Biden before the end of 2024?
| null | 1,720,932,506,690
| 1,735,707,540,000
| 1,735,775,820,081
|
NO
| 0.042229
| 3,828.450039
|
Politics
|
Domestic Policy
|
z5lh2hC6Cy
|
will-this-market-close-between-45-a-t55pSC2CLl
|
Will this market close between 45% and 55%?
| null | 1,747,187,303,672
| 1,747,791,840,000
| 1,747,791,873,049
|
YES
| 0.45
| 10,828.899586
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
toi4wk169h
|
will-nvidia-be-the-largest-company-7kj1eys2yc
|
Will Nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on Juneteenth 2025?
| null | 1,718,734,182,747
| 1,750,346,656,865
| 1,750,346,656,865
|
NO
| 0.008404
| 5,238.24095
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
Agg8SuZPpg
|
will-carvana-stock-fall-to-100-afte
|
Will Carvana stock fall to $100 after Hindenberg report? (before March 1st)
| null | 1,735,960,452,742
| 1,740,794,916,726
| 1,740,794,916,726
|
NO
| 0.01
| 103,801.266229
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
lS2g8nCltA
|
will-trump-intervene-in-the-crimina
|
Will Trump intervene in the criminal case against Eric Adams?
| null | 1,731,115,049,676
| 1,738,193,512,977
| 1,738,193,512,977
|
YES
| 0.75
| 1,084.052135
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
qUzIlQEN9N
|
baron-trump-meme-coin-before-march
|
Will Baron Trump release his own meme coin before March 1st?
| null | 1,738,014,602,474
| 1,740,815,940,000
| 1,740,841,298,201
|
NO
| 0.014526
| 8,718.877976
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
nvbwctisu2
|
will-chat-gpt-5-release-before-blue
|
Will Chat GPT 5 release before Blue Monday 2025?
| null | 1,719,003,223,648
| 1,737,435,540,000
| 1,737,436,239,992
|
NO
| 0.01
| 30,412.849893
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
zcyN0qLu2y
|
does-vladimir-putin-show-up-in-pers
|
Does Vladimir Putin show up in person to cease fire talks in Türkiye May 15, 2025?
| null | 1,746,985,518,144
| 1,747,408,549,070
| 1,747,408,549,070
|
NO
| 0.012064
| 3,337.456686
|
Geopolitics
|
International Relations
|
LL5uOE0L5p
|
will-the-washington-commanders-domi-Q5ycES8utg
|
Will the Washington Commanders conquer the Detroit Lions?
| null | 1,736,803,509,369
| 1,737,260,682,522
| 1,737,260,682,522
|
YES
| 0.989932
| 25,028.318572
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
25iwe9kupq
|
will-evan-vuccis-photograph-of-trum
|
Will Evan Vucci's photograph of Trump pumping his fist be at least a finalist for a Pulitzer?
| null | 1,720,927,664,156
| 1,748,590,499,858
| 1,748,590,499,858
|
NO
| 0.01
| 24,640.251896
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
zfi78oaapm
|
will-the-sohu-ai-chip-ship-to-custo
|
Will the Sohu AI chip ship to customers within a year?
| null | 1,719,813,935,549
| 1,750,834,740,000
| 1,751,472,963,606
|
NO
| 0.026083
| 6,053.783479
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
Ln6tzscRPu
|
will-silksong-be-a-switch-2-launch
|
Will Silksong be a Switch 2 launch title (or be available within a month of launch)?
| null | 1,739,924,561,794
| 1,751,774,340,000
| 1,751,798,370,750
|
NO
| 0.002603
| 5,915.721763
|
Entertainment
|
Gaming
|
ae2zu7cf9c
|
will-most-businesses-have-access-to-quxyykkeo4
|
Will most businesses have access to buy ads on an OpenAI product by 1 July 2025?
| null | 1,728,161,418,662
| 1,751,334,581,124
| 1,751,334,581,124
|
NO
| 0.010125
| 102,772.426097
|
Technology
|
Tech Industry & Business
|
90Olqqu2gz
|
will-ishiba-be-prime-minister-of-ja
|
Will Ishiba be Prime Minister of Japan by the End of Golden Week 2025?
| null | 1,732,717,698,907
| 1,746,543,540,000
| 1,746,831,672,321
|
YES
| 0.99
| 2,165.620993
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
L6d5utRls9
|
will-a-chinese-ai-developer-announc
|
Will a Chinese AI developer announce a model rivaling o3 performance by February 2025?
| null | 1,734,731,247,091
| 1,738,483,140,000
| 1,738,483,541,299
|
NO
| 0.01
| 2,928.069067
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
2af0dzfwmw
|
will-nvidia-nvda-end-33-at-or-above
|
Will Nvidia NVDA end 3/3 at or above $333 USD per share?
| null | 1,719,151,536,489
| 1,741,064,340,000
| 1,741,316,667,877
|
NO
| 0.01
| 2,206.710066
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
qc5Ngul5Ll
|
clean-swiftie-special-will-the-chie
|
["Clean" Swiftie Special] Will the Chiefs win all four quarters?
| null | 1,738,968,289,215
| 1,739,143,740,000
| 1,739,150,271,900
|
NO
| 0.051533
| 13,628.005179
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
QgZCLZZQtl
|
merab-dvalishvili-submits-sean-omal
|
Merab Dvalishvili submits Sean O’Malley at UFC 316?
| null | 1,748,296,702,263
| 1,749,364,895,560
| 1,749,364,895,560
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,272.006264
|
Sports
|
Individual Sports
|
LsOCppQn8U
|
this-market-resolves-to-min5x-100-w
|
This market resolves to min(5x, 100)%, where x is the number of traders
| null | 1,733,870,882,393
| 1,735,878,461,888
| 1,735,878,461,888
|
YES
| 0.973022
| 1,276.349324
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
l8NP9t6Agh
|
will-iran-use-iraq-to-stage-an-atta
|
Will Iran use Iraq to stage an attack on Israel before the end of 2024?
| null | 1,730,433,624,850
| 1,735,718,340,000
| 1,735,720,963,428
|
NO
| 0.034372
| 4,658.984343
|
Geopolitics
|
Global Conflicts
|
8LP0ll2Uz5
|
will-houthis-escalate-their-activit
|
Will houthis 🇾🇪 escalate their activities again before EOY 2025?
| null | 1,739,358,608,099
| 1,746,725,414,369
| 1,747,164,819,388
|
YES
| 0.984323
| 1,440.951731
|
Geopolitics
|
Global Conflicts
|
02n9uqqCSl
|
will-tulsi-gabbard-be-confirmed-as
|
Will Tulsi Gabbard be confirmed as Intelligence Director?
| null | 1,731,559,221,810
| 1,739,389,994,725
| 1,739,389,994,725
|
YES
| 0.991063
| 503,513.798752
|
Politics
|
Domestic Policy
|
9zc8clu8IR
|
will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-unIhzZnLC6
|
Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Mar 14 than it closed on Mar 13?
| null | 1,741,956,222,866
| 1,741,983,483,828
| 1,741,983,483,828
|
YES
| 0.99
| 9,633.409763
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
90IL6q6tyh
|
david-kisses-someone-while-visiting
|
David kisses someone while visiting the Bay?
| null | 1,743,192,449,924
| 1,744,329,540,000
| 1,744,556,685,698
|
NO
| 0.189606
| 1,590.762176
|
Entertainment
|
Celebrity & Pop Culture
|
ha8siwsis8
|
will-michel-barnier-be-the-primer-m
|
Will Michel Barnier be the prime minister of France on Jan 1st 2025?
| null | 1,725,536,609,166
| 1,735,772,340,000
| 1,735,801,143,370
|
NO
| 0.01
| 60,710.597818
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
kuqzmhm88u
|
if-trump-wins-will-harris-publicly
|
If Trump wins, will Harris publicly deny the official 2024 election results?
| null | 1,723,134,410,625
| 1,737,435,540,000
| 1,738,480,628,990
|
NO
| 0.011411
| 1,276
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
zlhA9A6n2S
|
daily-coinflip-EcL2pI0EP2
|
Daily coinflip
| null | 1,747,113,107,731
| 1,747,281,540,000
| 1,747,291,007,876
|
YES
| 0.5
| 2,824.696325
|
Sports
|
Sports Culture & Recreation
|
lsplIEPgdn
|
will-o3-openai-model-be-released-be
|
Will o3 (OpenAI model) be released before March 2025?
| null | 1,738,120,100,741
| 1,740,891,540,000
| 1,740,965,836,933
|
NO
| 0.02257
| 23,133.470456
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
g555cQquNc
|
will-the-assassin-of-the-minnesota-RS2hugEydg
|
Will the assassin of the Minnesota lawmakers be apprehended alive?
| null | 1,749,914,909,572
| 1,750,620,464,809
| 1,750,620,464,809
|
YES
| 0.991909
| 1,474.228375
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
c4vt1i7rnp
|
will-rfk-be-allowed-to-participate
|
Will RFK be allowed to participate in any presidential debate alongside Trump or Harris? (2024)
| null | 1,721,776,560,497
| 1,735,793,940,000
| 1,735,795,202,026
|
NO
| 0.00906
| 1,413.835087
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
AzgIhs665d
|
wip-will-the-fertility-crisis-becom
|
[WIP] Will the fertility crisis become an issue for blue tribe before July?
| null | 1,746,206,211,958
| 1,751,380,440,000
| 1,751,980,667,806
|
NO
| 0.021488
| 15,541.759283
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
tShQ8R2QUn
|
will-elon-musk-buy-hasbro-within-6
|
Will Elon Musk buy Hasbro within 6 months?
| null | 1,732,812,655,425
| 1,748,451,540,000
| 1,748,520,292,624
|
NO
| 0.01
| 22,647.888898
|
Technology
|
Tech Industry & Business
|
1qriku6ak2
|
will-a-la-liga-regular-season-match-4e6bn123bi
|
Will a La Liga regular season match be played in the United States this year?
| null | 1,723,817,397,865
| 1,735,772,340,000
| 1,735,772,522,072
|
NO
| 0.01
| 10,740.152286
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
qIuUAp0y6p
|
i-resolve-this-market-by-may-31-202
|
I resolve this market by May 31, 2025
| null | 1,746,227,852,573
| 1,746,227,992,114
| 1,746,227,992,114
|
YES
| 0.755446
| 1,320
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
9Lp0NzNAph
|
scott-alexander-debates-usaid-at-ma
|
Scott Alexander debates USAID at Manifest?
| null | 1,748,528,462,032
| 1,749,434,400,000
| 1,749,611,517,768
|
NO
| 0.134813
| 2,615.768082
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
IU2yZ6QyqL
|
will-i-implement-my-ai-markets-prof
|
Will I implement my AI markets profitting strategy in H1 2025, and will it work?
| null | 1,735,943,084,118
| 1,751,342,340,000
| 1,751,390,634,120
|
NO
| 0.125722
| 2,051.175965
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
4aaszsmzp2
|
will-there-be-credible-evidence-tha-ahcvpo9l6p
|
Will there be credible evidence that they UK could have unilaterally approved used of Storm Shadow missiles in Russia?
| null | 1,723,671,261,921
| 1,735,718,340,000
| 1,738,351,683,553
|
NO
| 0.58841
| 2,953.568297
|
Politics
|
Domestic Policy
|
OQq9ZdL80U
|
ncaa-basketball-2025-will-duke-flor
|
NCAA Basketball 2025: Will Duke, Florida, AND Alabama all win their games on 3/14?
| null | 1,741,957,476,386
| 1,742,011,681,572
| 1,742,011,681,572
|
YES
| 0.99
| 11,907.867344
|
Sports
|
Team Sports
|
5CPR62ysCq
|
there-will-be-more-than-a-25-increa
|
There will be more than a 25% increase in VR users as a result of this Christmas cycle.
| null | 1,735,083,617,076
| 1,740,902,340,000
| 1,741,453,035,726
|
NO
| 0.090648
| 2,704.171314
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
sLsUS0c9NQ
|
will-the-supreme-court-grant-cert-i-yP8UCqyyRq
|
Will the Supreme Court grant cert in Perez v. United States?
| null | 1,740,596,216,401
| 1,743,487,140,000
| 1,743,515,872,712
|
NO
| 0.169106
| 1,257
|
Politics
|
Government Structure
|
XqOAM8EVhiMLjXad9A18
|
will-apples-market-cap-exceed-micro
|
Will Apple’s Market Cap Exceed Microsoft’s at the End of 2024?
| null | 1,715,999,836,143
| 1,735,685,940,000
| 1,735,737,061,346
|
YES
| 0.986633
| 21,074.649068
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
hPqR8lgqLq
|
trump-approval-rating-450-or-higher
|
Trump approval rating 45.0% or higher on Feb 20th?
| null | 1,735,971,473,520
| 1,740,124,740,000
| 1,740,183,988,489
|
YES
| 0.99
| 98,342.337594
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
sVlJtVqYfXAjnZKjDY4O
|
nfl-week-17-dec-28-2024-will-the-wa
|
NFL Week 17 (Dec 28 2024): Will the Washington Commanders (home) beat the Atlanta Falcons (away)?
| null | 1,715,834,666,707
| 1,735,621,200,000
| 1,737,477,040,099
|
YES
| 0.997391
| 3,873.773317
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
qZRLLPOhnl
|
is-manus-another-deepseek-moment
|
Is Manus another "DeepSeek moment"?
| null | 1,741,438,414,907
| 1,746,676,740,000
| 1,746,699,913,382
|
NO
| 0.016619
| 47,050.271151
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
SqLCNO6yQq
|
will-the-us-impose-200-tariffs-on-e-UZRg90d0uO
|
Will the US impose 200%+ tariffs on european alcohol imports by the end of April 2025?
| null | 1,743,015,986,585
| 1,746,143,940,000
| 1,746,148,703,178
|
NO
| 0.013243
| 1,078.717367
|
Geopolitics
|
Trade & Economics
|
6zIRuUZcLp
|
will-blc1-be-confirmed-as-alien-tec
|
Will BLC-1 be confirmed as alien technology before 2025?
| null | 1,730,135,067,645
| 1,735,703,940,000
| 1,735,725,560,476
|
NO
| 0.031567
| 13,577.390152
|
Geopolitics
|
Global Conflicts
|
qp2l2sUOs9
|
will-mark-carney-be-the-prime-minis
|
Will Mark Carney be the Prime Minister after the election in Canada?
| null | 1,744,137,453,241
| 1,745,881,200,000
| 1,745,904,765,905
|
YES
| 0.838671
| 80,265.765385
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
n925az9t4i
|
pavel-durov-leaves-france-in-2024--cash
|
Pavel Durov leaves France in 2024?
| null | 1,729,699,702,460
| 1,735,707,540,000
| 1,735,761,707,008
|
NO
| 0.010985
| 1,481.860909
|
Geopolitics
|
Regional Affairs
|
End of preview. Expand
in Data Studio
README.md exists but content is empty.
- Downloads last month
- 5