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will-any-us-senate-election-in-2024
Will any U.S. Senate election in 2024 be decided by less than 1%?
null
1,689,382,476,245
1,732,943,309,074
1,732,943,309,074
YES
0.99
13,024.93013
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
3m1fgej0u7
one-month-from-today-will-manifold-a0migluya1
One month from today, will Manifold pay out Spice/Prize Points/Similar currency as USD to at least one USA state?
null
1,726,459,802,751
1,729,137,540,000
1,729,140,293,291
YES
0.78
127
Politics
Public Policy & Social Issues
delgzszzkG4IsoEFNxCD
nfl-week-9-nov-3-2024-will-the-seat
NFL Week 9 (Nov 3 2024): Will the Seattle Seahawks (home) beat the Los Angeles Rams (away)?
null
1,715,834,191,878
1,730,836,319,804
1,730,836,319,804
NO
0.011881
1,367.128352
Sports
Professional Sports
vgguj7ayip
will-the-israelis-bomb-iran-before
Will the Israelis bomb Iran before 2025?
null
1,727,701,567,343
1,729,935,930,930
1,729,935,930,930
YES
0.99
17,558.516747
Geopolitics
Global Conflicts
UitJbJIPmkakW2hLgTFP
will-a-democrat-win-the-2024-us-sen-acee7113d48b
Will a Democrat win the 2024 US Senate election in Montana?
null
1,670,677,349,540
1,730,913,909,275
1,730,913,909,275
NO
0.026476
75,397.302536
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
TRJ3UVJ9lYEphPys4Q8C
will-i-play-at-least-50-fiderated-c
Will I play at least 50 FIDE-rated classical games this year?
null
1,707,851,685,680
1,730,264,387,286
1,730,264,387,286
NO
0.451201
1,073.748399
Sports
Individual Sports
c3pg77npaq
will-netflix-reverse-its-illadvised
Will Netflix reverse its ill-advised decision to cast Lera Abova in One Piece?
null
1,726,999,787,548
1,732,624,134,580
1,732,624,134,580
NO
0.042072
4,599.090487
Entertainment
Movies & Television
j57kg99wed
will-wimipa-all-be-won-by-the-same
Will WI/MI/PA all be won by the same candidate?
null
1,718,601,081,326
1,731,218,340,000
1,731,295,614,355
YES
0.99
1,556.400692
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
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will-a-democrat-win-the-2024-presid-6d04e99d80fa
Will a democrat win the 2024 presidential election in North Carolina?
null
1,670,815,269,432
1,731,292,946,889
1,731,292,946,889
NO
0.009742
17,598.172261
Politics
Elections & Campaigns